Adult social care early invention and prevention

Projected Need and Demand

Adult Social Care supports service users with a variety of conditions and needs that tend to be generally categorised into Sensory/Physical Disabilities, Mental Health, Learning Disabilities, Older People and Carers. By far the biggest group of people supported by Adult Social Care are older people.

The current overall breakdown by client group highlights the predominant client group as Older People Physical Disability (76%).

See Figure 2 Adult Social Care - Primary and Secondary Prevention JSNAA

The chart below highlights forecasted growth in the older population of South Tyneside that indicates approximate growth of the older population of 8.2% within the next 5 years and anticipated growth by 2026 (10 years) of 21% and a 4.2% reduction in working age adults over the same periods.

See Figure 3 Adult Social Care - Primary and Secondary Prevention JSNAA

Given the anticipated growth in the elderly population if no changes were to be made to the current Adult Social Care system using historical full year client information, as highlighted in the chart below, it is anticipated that the amount of clients would increase in the region of 20% by 2018/2019

See Figure 4 Adult Social Care - Primary and Secondary Prevention JSNAA

It is estimated that South Tyneside has around 17500 carers which is slightly over the national average and Â鶹ÊÓƵ currently supports around 1001 of these carers directly following an assessment and substantially more indirectly through the provision of a variety of services through third sector organisations such as information and advice, peer group and community activities to support them to continue in their caring role.